HRZ Fantasy Football Competition 2010/2011
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My Independent Odds Tissue
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My Independent Odds Tissue
Lingfield 4.30 (my ratings priced to 100% with alongside Betfair 100% tissue for comparison)
A class 3 3yo+ stakes over 8 furlongs on the AW polytrack. I am not a particular fan of AW as to me it’s racing by numbers, fine for the connections and bookmakers though. Not a lot of speed but the proven AW runners are No’s 8, 4, 1 and OR 3, 10, 4.
1. 13/2 (8/1) Benandonner, LTO keen tracked led pushed headed 2/7 -.5L, no wins for this yard.
2. Non-runner
3. 4/1 (14/1) Den’s Gift, C&D* Draw? LTO led headed stayed on weakened 8/15 -7L, all 4 wins on AW.
4. 66/1 (14/1), course? Form?
5. 10/1 (41/1), form? Class? Draw? Teal/Keniry 3rd best combo.
6. 9/2 (9/1) Jake The Snake, C&D* LTO switched held up headway stayed on strong run finished well just failed 2/14 –shd, goes well on AW.
7. 13/1 (12/1) C&D* Form? Best/Drowne 2nd best combo.
8. 10/1 (14/1), C&D*
9. 33/1 (16/1), D? Draw?
10. 4/1 (7/2) Bintalwaadi, filly versus males? C&D* LTO led ridden headed 2/6 -1.75L, possibly more to come. Dulop/O’Shea best combo.
Betting: Bintalwaadi will be well fancied and short-priced and I am not certain she is quick enough even with a good draw. The answer for me is when in doubt don’t bet it’s the punter’s best weapon against the layers.
A class 3 3yo+ stakes over 8 furlongs on the AW polytrack. I am not a particular fan of AW as to me it’s racing by numbers, fine for the connections and bookmakers though. Not a lot of speed but the proven AW runners are No’s 8, 4, 1 and OR 3, 10, 4.
1. 13/2 (8/1) Benandonner, LTO keen tracked led pushed headed 2/7 -.5L, no wins for this yard.
2. Non-runner
3. 4/1 (14/1) Den’s Gift, C&D* Draw? LTO led headed stayed on weakened 8/15 -7L, all 4 wins on AW.
4. 66/1 (14/1), course? Form?
5. 10/1 (41/1), form? Class? Draw? Teal/Keniry 3rd best combo.
6. 9/2 (9/1) Jake The Snake, C&D* LTO switched held up headway stayed on strong run finished well just failed 2/14 –shd, goes well on AW.
7. 13/1 (12/1) C&D* Form? Best/Drowne 2nd best combo.
8. 10/1 (14/1), C&D*
9. 33/1 (16/1), D? Draw?
10. 4/1 (7/2) Bintalwaadi, filly versus males? C&D* LTO led ridden headed 2/6 -1.75L, possibly more to come. Dulop/O’Shea best combo.
Betting: Bintalwaadi will be well fancied and short-priced and I am not certain she is quick enough even with a good draw. The answer for me is when in doubt don’t bet it’s the punter’s best weapon against the layers.
Proprice- Rookie
- Posts : 1
Join date : 2010-07-14
Location : West Midlands
Re: My Independent Odds Tissue
Cheers Proprice
Dessie89- Regular
- Posts : 161
Join date : 2010-07-13
Age : 54
Location : Here, There & Everywhere
Re: My Independent Odds Tissue
How come you know so much Proprice? How long you been betting for?Proprice wrote:Lingfield 4.30 (my ratings priced to 100% with alongside Betfair 100% tissue for comparison)
A class 3 3yo+ stakes over 8 furlongs on the AW polytrack. I am not a particular fan of AW as to me it’s racing by numbers, fine for the connections and bookmakers though. Not a lot of speed but the proven AW runners are No’s 8, 4, 1 and OR 3, 10, 4.
1. 13/2 (8/1) Benandonner, LTO keen tracked led pushed headed 2/7 -.5L, no wins for this yard.
2. Non-runner
3. 4/1 (14/1) Den’s Gift, C&D* Draw? LTO led headed stayed on weakened 8/15 -7L, all 4 wins on AW.
4. 66/1 (14/1), course? Form?
5. 10/1 (41/1), form? Class? Draw? Teal/Keniry 3rd best combo.
6. 9/2 (9/1) Jake The Snake, C&D* LTO switched held up headway stayed on strong run finished well just failed 2/14 –shd, goes well on AW.
7. 13/1 (12/1) C&D* Form? Best/Drowne 2nd best combo.
8. 10/1 (14/1), C&D*
9. 33/1 (16/1), D? Draw?
10. 4/1 (7/2) Bintalwaadi, filly versus males? C&D* LTO led ridden headed 2/6 -1.75L, possibly more to come. Dulop/O’Shea best combo.
Betting: Bintalwaadi will be well fancied and short-priced and I am not certain she is quick enough even with a good draw. The answer for me is when in doubt don’t bet it’s the punter’s best weapon against the layers.
Re: My Independent Odds Tissue
Very good post proprice
I take it you have been in the Betting business before you retired.
I take it you have been in the Betting business before you retired.
Reply to queries
Col & Jack
Been betting since 1951 when I was 15yrs old and an apprentice pattern card maker in the textile industry.
I have never had any connection with bookmaking always being on the other side of the fence.
Been betting since 1951 when I was 15yrs old and an apprentice pattern card maker in the textile industry.
I have never had any connection with bookmaking always being on the other side of the fence.
traider- Novice
- Posts : 12
Join date : 2010-07-15
Newbury 4.55
Newbury 4.55 (my ratings priced to 100% with alongside Betfair 100% tissue for comparison)
A class 3 3yo+ hcap over 10 furlongs on changing going GS. Both RPR and Formast rate the field close whilst I have Con Artist quite well ahead. No outstanding speed runners but those proven are No’s 8, 3, 2 and on OR 1, 2, 3. Those towards the bottom of the card have a weight advantage.
1. 33/1 (25/1), off track 135?
2. 13/1 (16/1)
3. 11/1 (18/1), weight? D?
4. 11/1 (13/2), class? Cumani/Fallon 3rd best combo)
5. 100/1 (16/1) course? D?
6. 17/2 (7/2) Emerging Artist, LTO tracked led ridden headed not quicken no chance with winner 2/7 -5L, consistent. Johnston/Dettori 2nd best combo.
7. 22/1 (41/1), C&D* Offtrack 720? Form? Class?
8. 18/1 (49/1), off track 64?
9. 18/1 (20/1)
10. 10/1 (14/1) Changing The Guard, LTO chased ridden weakened 5/9 -7L, was progressive last season.
11. 18/1 (33/1), class?
12. 9/2 (9/2) Con Artist, LTO made all steady pace quickened won 1/5 +.75L, useful.
13. 7/1 (8/1) Grey Bunting, course? LTO held up pushed headway went 2nd always held 2/6 -1L, more needed.
Betting: As far as I am concerned Con Artist has to be considered and Emerging Artist will not be a value bet.
A class 3 3yo+ hcap over 10 furlongs on changing going GS. Both RPR and Formast rate the field close whilst I have Con Artist quite well ahead. No outstanding speed runners but those proven are No’s 8, 3, 2 and on OR 1, 2, 3. Those towards the bottom of the card have a weight advantage.
1. 33/1 (25/1), off track 135?
2. 13/1 (16/1)
3. 11/1 (18/1), weight? D?
4. 11/1 (13/2), class? Cumani/Fallon 3rd best combo)
5. 100/1 (16/1) course? D?
6. 17/2 (7/2) Emerging Artist, LTO tracked led ridden headed not quicken no chance with winner 2/7 -5L, consistent. Johnston/Dettori 2nd best combo.
7. 22/1 (41/1), C&D* Offtrack 720? Form? Class?
8. 18/1 (49/1), off track 64?
9. 18/1 (20/1)
10. 10/1 (14/1) Changing The Guard, LTO chased ridden weakened 5/9 -7L, was progressive last season.
11. 18/1 (33/1), class?
12. 9/2 (9/2) Con Artist, LTO made all steady pace quickened won 1/5 +.75L, useful.
13. 7/1 (8/1) Grey Bunting, course? LTO held up pushed headway went 2nd always held 2/6 -1L, more needed.
Betting: As far as I am concerned Con Artist has to be considered and Emerging Artist will not be a value bet.
traider- Novice
- Posts : 12
Join date : 2010-07-15
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